Connor Bedard vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 73.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 73.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 74.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Bedard
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Bedard
Zibanejad
Last 10: Bedard 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
6
Bedard
Zibanejad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
50.9% (11,756)
-10.7%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
52.2% (1,852)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
41.6% (1,796)
+8.4%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Bedard
Zibanejad
Home
43.3% (785)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
38.9% (957)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Bedard
Zibanejad
P1
38.9%
50.4%
P2
41.2%
49.7%
P3
42.5%
49.9%
OT
42.9%
48.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |