Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 81.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 87.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 87.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Bedard
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Bedard
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Bedard
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Bedard
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
52.9% (870)
-14.9%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
53.5% (43)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
46.2% (143)
+10.9%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Bedard
Zibanejad
Home
40.5% (316)
55.1% (501)
Away
36.2% (340)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Bedard
Zibanejad
P1
37.2%
57.5%
P2
36.9%
50.7%
P3
40.7%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
38.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |