Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs McLeod 50.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 78.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 52.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
McLeod
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
51.3% (628)
-5.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
68.3% (41)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
43.9% (189)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.3% (221)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
47.0%
P3
40.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
46.8%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |