Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs McLeod 47.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 52.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
49.0% (827)
+0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
44.0% (91)
+56.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
43.0% (272)
-10.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
50.0% (34)
48.5% (619)
Away
40.0% (55)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
46.7%
52.7%
P2
30.0%
43.9%
P3
59.3%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |