Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 62.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 57.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dewar
McLeod
Last 8: Dewar 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
50.4% (3,376)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
50.7% (296)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
44.1% (644)
-2.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
43.8% (603)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
46.3% (656)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
43.7%
50.8%
P2
46.7%
48.0%
P3
45.0%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |