Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs McLeod 52.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 53.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 52.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
52.9% (904)
-12.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.6% (59)
+42.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
49.0% (241)
-0.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
41.0% (78)
51.8% (612)
Away
45.7% (46)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
38.9%
55.4%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
34.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
42.7%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |