Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Joshua wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 48.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 78.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.7%
Neutral zone
Joshua 58.5%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Joshua
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Joshua
Pageau
Last 7: Joshua 3-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (61)
57.1% (905)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.2% (116)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
11.1% (9)
48.0% (204)
-36.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
43.9% (41)
57.0% (618)
Away
51.6% (31)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
44.4%
61.0%
P3
38.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
47.2%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |