Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +42.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 43.9% vs Pageau 59.0% (-42.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 82.5%
Defensive zone
Joshua 65.4%
Neutral zone
Joshua 81.0%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Joshua
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
23.5% (17)
59.4% (726)
-35.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
69.0% (42)
-69.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
59.7% (221)
-59.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +69.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 11.1% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
27.3% (11)
58.4% (430)
Away
8.3% (12)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
18.2%
55.4%
P2
12.5%
61.8%
P3
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
0.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
32.0%▼
47.0%
17.4%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |