Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.0% vs Pageau 54.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.5%
Neutral zone
Joshua 63.5%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Joshua
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Joshua
Pageau
Last 7: Joshua 3-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
55.7% (9,301)
-3.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
56.8% (989)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
49.5% (2,019)
-24.5%
On power play, Joshua has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
49.0% (145)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
53.3% (165)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
56.6%
54.7%
P2
45.0%
56.2%
P3
52.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
51.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |