Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Joshua wins 61.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.4% vs Pageau 58.7% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Joshua 55.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Joshua
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (37)
59.6% (711)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.0% (114)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
56.4% (163)
-6.4%
On power play, Joshua has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
57.1% (28)
59.3% (506)
Away
50.0% (14)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
52.9%
56.8%
P2
27.3%
64.4%
P3
78.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%