Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Kadri 49.7% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 51.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Mercer
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mercer
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Mercer
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
50.2% (849)
-14.8%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
50.6% (235)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
43.0% (93)
-43.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kadri
Home
39.9% (283)
48.5% (557)
Away
31.3% (307)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Mercer
Kadri
P1
37.7%
49.5%
P2
32.1%
51.3%
P3
37.7%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |