Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Kadri 49.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.7%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mercer
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Mercer
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
47.7% (975)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.0% (226)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
55.6% (9)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kadri
Home
41.7% (120)
48.3% (621)
Away
47.6% (145)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Mercer
Kadri
P1
44.6%
48.1%
P2
45.4%
48.9%
P3
45.2%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
44.9%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |