Dawson Mercer vs Nazem Kadri

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nazem Kadri holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.9% vs Kadri 46.9% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone Kadri 54.1%
Defensive zone Mercer 54.3%
Neutral zone Kadri 51.3%
Result Nazem Kadri favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Mercer Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
46.5% (866)
-7.7%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
48.8% (86)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
38.5% (13)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +16.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kadri
Home
35.2% (145)
45.8% (513)
Away
43.2% (146)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Mercer
Kadri
P1
32.7%
52.4%
P2
42.7%
48.5%
P3
42.9%
39.7%
Final 5 min
39.2%
46.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.2%
Kadri
32.0%
35.5%
46.6%