Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 57.5%). Holloway wins 75.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 52.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 78.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 68.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Holloway
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holloway
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (43)
57.0% (718)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holloway is 75.0% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Holloway shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Holloway
Hertl
Home
47.8% (23)
59.2% (463)
Away
66.7% (24)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Holloway
Hertl
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
43.8%
55.4%
P3
84.6%
60.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
57.4%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |