Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.7% vs Hertl 55.4% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 70.2%
Defensive zone
Holloway 52.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Holloway
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Holloway
Hertl
Last 6: Holloway 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Holloway
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Holloway
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holloway
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (127)
54.1% (717)
-10.8%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
61.9% (210)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holloway is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Holloway shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Holloway
Hertl
Home
48.6% (72)
58.1% (492)
Away
36.6% (71)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Holloway
Hertl
P1
40.0%
57.1%
P2
43.2%
54.0%
P3
45.1%
56.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
42.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Dylan Holloway |