Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Beniers 47.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 74.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Beniers
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
4
Larkin
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
47.3% (945)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
51.7% (145)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
23.8% (21)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
56.0% (654)
49.6% (565)
Away
54.8% (639)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
54.4%
48.0%
P2
55.9%
49.0%
P3
55.2%
46.5%
OT
64.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |