Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Beniers 48.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 59.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Larkin
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Larkin
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
48.3% (862)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
58.3% (36)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
50.0% (32)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
51.7% (686)
52.4% (460)
Away
53.0% (658)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
52.5%
47.5%
P2
52.7%
50.6%
P3
51.4%
47.6%
OT
61.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |