Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Beniers 46.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 90.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
4
Larkin
Beniers
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
7
Larkin
Beniers
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
7
Larkin
Beniers
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
46.5% (3,825)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
47.8% (360)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
41.4% (111)
+8.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
53.9% (6,277)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
52.7%
47.2%
P2
53.1%
47.0%
P3
52.0%
45.7%
OT
58.4%
34.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |