Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Beniers 46.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 88.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
4
Larkin
Beniers
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
7
Larkin
Beniers
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
7
Larkin
Beniers
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (8,914)
46.5% (3,610)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,099)
47.1% (350)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (1,102)
41.4% (111)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,773).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,677).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
54.0% (6,206)
48.8% (2,092)
Away
51.4% (5,909)
44.0% (1,979)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
52.7%
47.3%
P2
53.1%
47.0%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
OT
58.6%
34.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.7%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |