Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Beniers 47.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 72.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Larkin
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
2
Larkin
Beniers
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
48.3% (1,050)
+4.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
42.9% (105)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
43.6% (39)
+12.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
54.7% (783)
48.7% (630)
Away
54.3% (816)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
55.9%
49.2%
P2
56.1%
45.0%
P3
51.1%
49.3%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.5%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |