Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 79.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Lindholm
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
40.7% (460)
+16.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
61.5% (39)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Novak
Home
55.2% (667)
47.0% (236)
Away
57.5% (669)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Lindholm
Novak
P1
54.7%
43.1%
P2
55.5%
43.1%
P3
58.5%
40.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%