Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Novak 45.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 74.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Lindholm
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
42.9% (198)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
40.9% (22)
+19.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Novak
Home
54.4% (688)
40.9% (110)
Away
56.1% (686)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Lindholm
Novak
P1
57.2%
39.1%
P2
54.3%
43.9%
P3
54.2%
44.9%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.2%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |