Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Backlund 50.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 66.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Pettersson
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
51.5% (983)
-7.6%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
49.4% (87)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.3% (159)
+0.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
45.5% (290)
51.6% (653)
Away
42.4% (250)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
40.2%
50.0%
P2
43.9%
49.8%
P3
48.8%
51.7%
OT
42.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |