Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Backlund 50.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 78.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
0
Pettersson
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
7
Pettersson
Backlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Pettersson
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
51.3% (712)
-7.5%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
52.9% (51)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
47.5% (217)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
48.3% (453)
49.0% (449)
Away
43.4% (495)
51.8% (531)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
44.7%
46.9%
P2
46.0%
54.7%
P3
46.4%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |