Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Backlund 49.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 77.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
16
(35 meetings)
19
16
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
10
0
Pettersson
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
11
Pettersson
Backlund
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
5
Pettersson
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
50.5% (944)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
51.5% (66)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
47.1% (297)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
49.1% (607)
48.1% (636)
Away
44.7% (595)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
45.5%
45.4%
P2
48.0%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
OT
47.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |