Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.4%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 75.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Pettersson
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
50.4% (1,032)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
52.3% (107)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
40.6% (313)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
48.1% (489)
48.7% (749)
Away
46.9% (475)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
47.4%
50.4%
P2
48.3%
50.1%
P3
46.6%
45.8%
OT
55.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |