Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 35 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 57-54 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
54
(111 meetings)
57
54
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
25
10
Pettersson
Backlund
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
13
25
Pettersson
Backlund
38 total
Neutral Zone
Even
19
19
Pettersson
Backlund
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
49.7% (13,463)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
51.5% (1,338)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
43.9% (2,465)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
46.8% (2,757)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
50.3%
P3
47.4%
48.4%
OT
39.7%
45.1%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |