Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 32 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Backlund 49.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 49-47 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
49
(96 meetings)
47
49
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
22
10
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
11
21
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
18
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
49.7% (13,231)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
51.5% (1,323)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
43.9% (2,385)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,477).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
46.5% (2,603)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
44.5%
48.6%
P2
45.6%
50.3%
P3
47.3%
48.4%
OT
40.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |