Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 68.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
51.0% (408)
-2.0%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
0.0% (6)
+68.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
35.9% (78)
+13.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +68.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (319)
50.8% (258)
Away
48.7% (228)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.4%
51.6%
P2
47.4%
45.2%
P3
50.0%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |