Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
50.3% (479)
-1.1%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
50.0% (28)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
30.0% (50)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.1% (546)
48.9% (270)
Away
49.4% (551)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.8%
48.7%
P2
46.8%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |