Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Gaudreau 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
4
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
4
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
44.8% (8,775)
+3.8%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
50.6% (844)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
37.8% (880)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.2% (2,437)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.7%
45.1%
P2
47.3%
43.9%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
OT
35.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |