Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 83.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
46.0% (250)
-1.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
70.6% (17)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
31.8% (22)
+6.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.6% (277)
50.3% (175)
Away
43.1% (288)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.1%
48.5%
P2
44.7%
45.9%
P3
39.5%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |