Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 44.8% vs Sturm 57.1% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 79.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 65.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lapierre
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (98)
62.1% (356)
-22.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
75.0% (4)
-41.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lapierre is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Lapierre shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Sturm
Home
36.1% (61)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.0% (40)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Lapierre
Sturm
P1
36.4%
58.0%
P2
40.0%
57.9%
P3
42.1%
60.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
39.6%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%