Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Zuccarello 40.6% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 54.0%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
39.4% (439)
-3.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
36.1% (61)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
33.3% (21)
-2.3%
On even strength, Zuccarello has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
36.8% (1,681)
38.6% (272)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
39.0% (249)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
36.9%
36.6%
P2
33.4%
36.3%
P3
38.2%
44.9%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
34.1%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%