Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 30.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Zuccarello 48.5% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
43.8% (32)
-8.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.0% (4)
-33.3%
On power play, Zuccarello has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 30.2% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
32.4% (74)
30.0% (20)
Away
36.0% (89)
62.5% (16)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
38.8%
42.1%
P2
27.6%
36.4%
P3
36.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
29.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%