Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Zuccarello 45.8% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 51.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
38.1% (42)
-3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
38.5% (13)
+4.4%
On power play, Hughes has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
32.6% (187)
40.0% (30)
Away
36.7% (166)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
33.9%
31.8%
P2
34.2%
40.0%
P3
36.5%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
38.2%