Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Zuccarello 46.3% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.6%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 60.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.9%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
41.4% (58)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (2)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
37.4% (235)
46.4% (28)
Away
33.2% (229)
34.4% (32)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
37.1%
35.7%
P2
33.7%
44.4%
P3
34.8%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.0%