Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Zuccarello 47.4% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 60.2%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 58.8%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 50.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
41.2% (34)
-3.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
36.6% (314)
35.3% (17)
Away
38.5% (353)
44.4% (18)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
36.4%
38.1%
P2
35.6%
40.0%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.0%