Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Frost 56.4% (-20.9%)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 59.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Hughes
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
56.0% (755)
-19.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
60.1% (173)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
88.9% (9)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Hughes
Frost
Home
35.8% (159)
57.3% (497)
Away
36.5% (159)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Hughes
Frost
P1
42.3%
60.2%
P2
28.2%
56.0%
P3
37.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
27.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%