Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 88.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
52.1% (351)
-16.5%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
57.1% (14)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
35.9% (39)
-2.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
37.6% (255)
50.0% (198)
Away
34.3% (207)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
28.5%
52.1%
P2
39.2%
48.8%
P3
40.8%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |