Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
50.3% (479)
-12.4%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
50.0% (28)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
30.0% (50)
+6.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
36.6% (314)
48.9% (270)
Away
38.5% (353)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.4%
48.7%
P2
35.6%
50.0%
P3
41.8%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |