Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-9.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
45.4% (527)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
41.2% (17)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.9% (138)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
37.4% (235)
46.1% (336)
Away
33.2% (229)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
37.1%
49.1%
P2
33.7%
45.3%
P3
34.8%
42.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%