Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 89.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Hughes 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
44.8% (8,775)
-8.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.6% (844)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
37.8% (880)
-6.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
36.8% (1,681)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.9%
45.1%
P2
33.4%
43.9%
P3
38.2%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
34.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |