Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
46.0% (250)
-9.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
70.6% (17)
-56.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
31.8% (22)
+1.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
35.8% (159)
50.3% (175)
Away
36.5% (159)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.3%
48.5%
P2
28.2%
45.9%
P3
37.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%