Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs McCarron 53.4% (-20.4%)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McBain
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
57.5% (308)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
32.6% (43)
-15.0%
On even strength, McCarron has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
33.8% (68)
48.3% (147)
Away
34.3% (35)
58.7% (206)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
40.6%
53.4%
P2
40.5%
59.5%
P3
20.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
34.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%