Jack McBain vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McCarron 52.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 54.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 58.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
McBain
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
McBain
McCarron
Last 10: McBain 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
7
McBain
McCarron
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
53.3% (2,926)
-5.2%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
45.3% (86)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
50.1% (469)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
49.1% (1,379)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
47.1%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
52.3%
P3
45.4%
51.9%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |