Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs McCarron 54.9% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
McCarron 55.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
McBain
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
62.8% (86)
-17.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.4% (18)
-6.8%
On even strength, McCarron has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
45.5% (437)
59.5% (42)
Away
42.4% (403)
59.4% (64)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
43.5%
71.0%
P2
44.0%
48.7%
P3
45.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
59.4%