Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 65.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 76.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Guentzel
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
40.4% (841)
+5.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
42.4% (66)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
32.7% (147)
-32.7%
On power play, Guentzel has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Guentzel shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Cates
Home
75.0% (8)
38.2% (566)
Away
25.0% (8)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Guentzel
Cates
P1
62.5%
40.5%
P2
50.0%
42.4%
P3
33.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
39.5%