Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 45.5% vs Cates 45.8% (-18.4%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 60.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Guentzel
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (22)
44.3% (271)
-17.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
77.8% (18)
-77.8%
On power play, Cates has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Guentzel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Guentzel shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Cates
Home
33.3% (9)
52.0% (148)
Away
21.4% (14)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Guentzel
Cates
P1
27.3%
42.7%
P2
16.7%
42.9%
P3
40.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
26.1%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%