Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 67.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 68.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Guentzel
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
45.5% (756)
+3.6%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
42.1% (114)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
44.7% (47)
+1.5%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Guentzel shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Cates
Home
50.2% (205)
46.2% (468)
Away
44.4% (169)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Guentzel
Cates
P1
47.6%
46.0%
P2
49.0%
47.5%
P3
46.2%
42.1%
OT
42.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%