Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Cates 45.2% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 71.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 71.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Guentzel
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
44.2% (566)
+8.4%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
44.0% (84)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
50.0% (38)
-6.2%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Guentzel is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Guentzel shoots left. Cates is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Cates
Home
53.2% (94)
45.1% (350)
Away
42.7% (117)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Guentzel
Cates
P1
53.7%
46.8%
P2
46.8%
46.5%
P3
44.3%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%