Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 52.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 73.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Guentzel
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
48.0% (275)
-3.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
48.1% (52)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.1% (32)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
56.3% (16)
49.8% (201)
Away
44.4% (9)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
20.0%
54.8%
P2
57.1%
40.5%
P3
80.0%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
48.5%