Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 68.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 65.9%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Guentzel
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
38.9% (72)
+13.7%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
35.7% (42)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
42.9% (21)
+0.9%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
53.2% (94)
34.7% (75)
Away
42.7% (117)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
53.7%
43.9%
P2
46.8%
32.6%
P3
44.3%
39.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%