Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 65.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 71.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Guentzel
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
39.0% (77)
+10.1%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
35.4% (48)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
40.9% (22)
+5.3%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
50.2% (205)
35.7% (84)
Away
44.4% (169)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
47.6%
42.6%
P2
49.0%
34.7%
P3
46.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%