Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 91.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 53.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 75.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Guentzel
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
Last 10: Guentzel 9-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
8
0
Guentzel
Reinhart
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
42.5% (2,173)
+3.9%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
46.5% (525)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
41.3% (339)
+1.9%
On even strength, Guentzel has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
48.9% (583)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
43.2% (474)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
48.0%
44.5%
P2
45.5%
40.5%
P3
46.0%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |